Good evening, TSPwire Tactical Investor,
TrimTabs data shows that last week stock investors cashed out more then $11bln. The biggest outflow came on Tuesday when investors cashed out a net of $5.5 billion, making it the second-highest daily outflow of the year. Marginally good news is that this outflow was not as bad as ...
Good evening, TSPwire Tactical Investor!
Euphoria that pushed majority of US large-cap stock indexes (C Fund) to their historical highs on Thursday was replaced Friday with bearish sentiment after Google and Caterpillar posted weaker-then-expected earnings. Small-cap stocks (S Fund) also fell sharply from record territo ...
Investors were very excited last week! Surprisingly large cap stocks outpaced everybody else (+1.3% in C Fund vs +0.57% in S fund and 0.95% in I Fund). Wall street bets on strong quarterly earnings and low impact of issues with sub-prime mortgages on the rest of financial industry. Among results next week particular confidence is expected in technology sector.
Last week our predictions were right on point S Fund jumped +1.1% and I Fund went up 0.93%! Some analysts believe that since dollar stays at the very low level against British Pound and Euro it can help C Fund because it has a lot of large companies that are selling their products internationally. (Note: weak dollar against Euro makes prices more attractive for buyers in Europe.) We tend to disagree with that p ...
Last week we observed very jittery behavior in stock markets. Our predictions were right on point and all three funds that we elected ended the week in positive territory. C Fund gained 0.34%, S Fund 0.78% and I Fund jumped 1.27%.
Even though stocks performed very well during the last quarter a fairly big number of big investors are betting on a pullback. According to the latest monthly repo ...
As we mentioned in our newsletter statistics shows that markets almost never hit the bottom on Fridays. This morning we were very surprised to see high rebound and thought that markets will stay in positive territory. Unfortunately miracle did not happen – by the end of the day markets slipped back into negative territory. Let’s see if our prediction for tomorrow will be accurate too (we expect markets to rise).
Big spike in bond yields and fears about bad shape of credit markets sent stocks down during the last few days. Upcoming week will clarify what is going in on with our economy: Feds meeting, data on inflation, homes sales, consumer sentiments, durable goods orders, personal income data ...
What a week! On Wednesday markets turned around and we observed a very nice rebound. Low core inflation numbers were the primary contributor to that rebound. Analysts believe that in short-term we might observe some volatility on the market but overall outlook on stocks is very positive ...
It looks like our predictions were correct – rate speculators did removed themselves from the market. According to the stock futures only 5% (comparing to over 50% last month) of investors bet on the fact that Feds will raise rates by the end of the year.
Another very good news that institutional investors started to move their funds from money-market accounts into stock markets. In the last 30 days almost 3 billions of dollars were moved from money markets into stocks and bonds.
It never seize to amaze us how blind investors can be. We kept telling in our newsletters that Feds will not reduce rates any time soon. It is just not possible because of value of dollar and US economy growth. On Tuesday investors who finally got the message rushed for the door which i ...